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01/15/2026 09:31

Statement: Minimum import prices for China's electric cars: "The worst of all solutions"

Mathias Rauck Kommunikation
Kiel Institut für Weltwirtschaft

    Prof. Dr. Julian Hinz (https://www.kielinstitut.de/experts/julian-hinz/), head of the Trade Policy Research Group at the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, comments on the European Commission's decision on price commitments (minimum import prices) for Chinese electric cars:

    "A minimum import price is the worst of all solutions—for three reasons.

    First, a minimum import price does not eliminate the underlying surplus supply but rather cements it. Instead of dampening market pressure at the border, the instrument invites China's electric car manufacturers to continue pushing large quantities into the EU market. Incentives for overcapacity are not being reduced but rather strengthened and politically approved.

    Second, a minimum import price is a bureaucratic monster and opens a massive scope for lobbying. The Commission requires model- and equipment-specific minimum prices, demarcations along complex distribution channels, and safeguards against cross-subsidization, for example through discounts or other purchase incentives. This is an invitation to ongoing negotiations and turns trade defense into a continuous arena for regulation and lobbying.

    Third, the highlight, however, is that with such a measure, the EU is forfeiting substantial revenues. Tariffs create a price wedge and generate government revenue. A minimum import price creates the same price wedge, but the difference becomes an additional margin for Chinese manufacturers and their distribution systems. Europe enforces the measure, bears the administrative costs—and effectively transfers the revenue to the car manufacturers it claims to be taking action against.

    If the EU is serious about trade defense measures countering export subsidies that are prohibited under WTO law, it should stick to transparent, market-based instruments that typically go hand in hand with import duties. A minimum price system is very costly to implement and invites abuse. Ultimately, it turns trade policy into a playground for lobbyists and a source of revenue for foreign suppliers."

    Media Contact:
    Mathias Rauck
    Chief Communications Officer
    T +49 431 8814-411
    mathias.rauck@kielinstitut.de


    Contact for scientific information:

    Prof. Dr. Julian Hinz
    Director Trade Policy
    T +49 431 8814-507
    julian.hinz@kielinstitut.de


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